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Payment balance of Azerbaijan: 2010 passed without surprises

Analysis Materials 19 April 2011 14:12 (UTC +04:00)

Analysis of the payments balance of Azerbaijan upon sectors indicated that like previous years, in 2010 the foreign economic operations in the oil and gas sector had black ink, while in non-oil sector - red ink. According to payment balance provided by the Central Bank of Azerbaijan, in 2010 the black ink in the oil sector amounted to $19.5 billion. Incomes from oil and gas sector are formed mainly at the expense of exports of crude oil and natural gas and foreign capital attracted into this sector. Payments for this sector are carried out as a result of profit and repatriation of investment, imports of equipment and services.

Main indicators of Azerbaijan's payment balance

mln USD

Main indicators of payment balance

2009

2010

I. Balance of current account

10172.8

15039.6

Foreign trade balance

14582.9

19730.4

Balance of services

-1612.6

-1732.9

Balance of incomes

-3519.2

-3467.0

- Repatriation of investments

-3152.6

-3052.4

Balance of current transfers

721.7

509.1

II. Balance of capital flow

-7481.8

-4578.4

Direct investments

146.2

329.1

- in Azerbaijan ' s economy

2899.0

3347.3

- in foreign economy

-326.1

-232.0

- Repatriation of investments

-2426.7

-2786.2

Loans and other investments

-7628.0

-4907.5

III. Payment balance (change of reserve assets of country)

2691.0

10461.2

Account of current operations

The Central Bank of Azerbaijan (CBA) reported that the current account surplus of balance payments was $15 billion in 2010. The current account surplus of the oil and gas sector is $19.9 billion, which fully covers the current $4.8 -billion account deficit of the non-oil sector
Analysis of the payment balance showed that as in previous years, black-ink foreign trade surplus was seen during foreign economic operations in the oil and gas sector, and red ink surplus in the non-oil sector.

Foreign trade balance

The total foreign trade turnover amounted to $33.2 billion, with the black-ink foreign trade surplus reaching $19.7 billion in 2010. In addition, goods worth $6.7 billion were imported and export operations amounted to $26.5 billion.

During the reporting period, trade relations were established with 150 countries. Roughly 12 percent of the turnover fell to transactions with CIS countries and 88 percent fell to other foreign countries. Intensive trade relations were observed with Italy, the United States, France, Israel, Turkey, Russia, Ukraine, Georgia, China and UK. Some 68 percent of the country's export and import operations fell to these countries.

Main trade partners of Azerbaijan in 2010

mln USD

Trade turnover

Export

Import

Balance

Italy

7476

7356

120

+7236

USA

2665

2451

214

+2237

France

2001

1865

136

+1729

Russia

1968

862

1106

-244

Israel

1811

1751

60

+1691

Great Britain

1761

1452

309

+1143

Turkey

1619

905

714

+191

Ukraine

1328

910

418

+492

Georgia

981

939

42

+897

China

945

311

634

-323

Others

10667

7674

2993

+4681

In total

33222

26476

6746

+19730

Including

CIS countries

4117

2165

1952

+213

Other countries

29105

24311

4794

+19517

Export : Azerbaijan exported oil products worth $23.8 billion abroad in 2010, according to the Central Bank of Azerbaijan (CBA) payment balance. The share of oil and gas products in the structure of exported products hit 94.9 percent.

Some $1.571 billion of the total volume of exported oil products accounted for oil refinery products, while the country exported oil worth $22.3 billion. The Azerbaijan International Operating Company (AIOC) produced oil in the amount of $21 billion of the total volume of the exported products. Other enterprises exported oil worth $1.3 billion, $126.3 million of which accounted for condensate from the Shah Deniz field, while $1.162 billion accounted for the State Oil Company of Azerbaijan (SOCAR).

Total cost of exports accounting for non-oil sector hit $1.4 billion increasing by 20 percent.

Structure of export

2009

2010

Amount , mln . USD

Specific weight , %

Amount , mln . USD

Specific weight , %

Export in total

21096.8

100.0

26476.0

100.0

1. Fuel resources

20217.3

95.9

25398.6

95.9

- oil and gas

19969.5

94.7

25107.5

94.8

- other resources

247.8

1.2

291.1

1.1

2. Machine and equipment

257.0

1.2

336.1

1.3

3. Consumer goods

594.3

2.8

725.6

2.7

4. Other goods

28.2

0.1

15.7

0.1

Imports . In 2010, import of goods to the country amounted to $6.7 billion. The total cost of imported consumer goods amounted to $2954.3 million, of which $1050.4 million - the food products.

Structure of import

2009 год

2010 год

Amount , mln . USD

Specific weight , %

Amount , mln . USD

Specific weight , %

Import in total

6513.9

100.0

6745.6

100.0

1. Consumer goods

2587.0

39.7

2954.3

43.8

- food products

826.7

12.7

1050.4

15.6

- other

1760.3

27.0

1903.9

28.2

2. Investment goods

773.3

11.9

689.0

10.2

- international oil and gas consortiums

402.2

6.2

559.0

8.3

- other

371.1

5.7

130.0

1.9

3. Other goods

3153.6

48.4

3102.3

46.0

Balance of incomes

According to balance of payments, the total turnover of payments and receipts in 2010 amounted to $4818.2 million, of which 86 percent ($4142.6 million) accounted for the payment of Azerbaijan.

The bulk of payments ($3082.4 million) was made due to the repatriation of income (via oil) of foreign investors, the Azerbaijan International Operating Consortium (AIOC), $113.6 million accounted for the salaries of non-residents, $212 million for interest payments on loans used, including oil and gas sector.

Capital flow

The total amount of foreign capital attracted to the Azerbaijani economy in 2010 amounted to $8.3 billion, an increase by 1.5 times compared to the penultimate year.

Structure of attracted foreign capital

2009

2010

Amount , mln . USD

Specific weight , %

Amount , mln . USD

Specific weight , %

Direct investments

2899.0

51.5

3347.3

40.3

- oil and gas sector

2146.3

38.1

2573.4

31.0

- other sector

752.7

13.4

773.9

9.3

Loans and other investments

2729.9

48.5

4966.2

59.7

- loans under state guarantee

646.8

11.5

735.5

8.8

- loans without state guarantee

1020.9

18.1

2635.3

31.7

- oil and gas sector

77.0

1.4

667.6

8.0

- banks

734.8

13.0

1686.6

20.3

- other

209.1

3.7

281.1

3.4

- other investments

1062.2

18.9

1595.4

19.2

Oil bonus

1.0

-

2.0

-

Total

5629.9

100.0

8315.5

100.0

Direct investments

The total amount of direct investments in the country's economy amounted to $3.35 billion, here the share of oil and gas sector hit 76.9 percent. These investments were used to finance works in the Azerbaijani territory within the oil and gas projects by BP Exploration (Shah Deniz) Ltd and the AIOC (Azeri-Chirag-Guneshli).

According to Central Bank estimates, the amount of direct investments attracted to the non-oil sector amounted to 773.9 million manat or 23.1 percent of the total amount of direct investments attracted to the country.

Reserve assets

Surplus on payment balance for 2010 has allowed to accumulate $10461.2 million in reserve assets, in addition, whereas a year earlier accumulation of reserve assets amounted to only $2691 million.

Payment balance of Azerbaijan for 2010, ths dollar

Main indicators of payment balance

Loans ( incomes )

Debit ( payments )

Balance

1

2

3

4

А. CURRENT ACCOUNT

30636939

15597351

15039588

Oil sector

25140200

5277412

19862788

Other sectors

5496739

10319939

-4823200

FOREIGN TRADE BALANCE

26476026

6745603

19730423

Oil sector

25107536

837644

24269892

Other sectors

1368490

5907959

-4539469

Goods export

26476026

26476026

Oil sector

25107536

25107536

Other sectors

1368490

1368490

Goods import

6745603

-6745603

Oil sector

837644

-837644

Other sectors

5907959

-5907959

Service balance

2064928

3797816

-1732888

Oil sector

1240495

-1240495

Other sectors

2064928

2557321

-492393

Transport

643973

800689

-156716

Tourism

620652

744966

-124314

Communications

75647

52960

22687

Construction

152720

325342

-172622

Oil sector

168655

-168655

Other sectors

152720

156687

-3967

Financial services

331

8936

-8605

Governmental services

97074

83954

13120

Other business services

474531

1780969

-1306438

Oil sector

1071840

-1071840

Other sectors

474531

709129

-234598

Incomes

675537

4142615

-3467078

Oil sector

32664

3199273

-3166609

Other sectors

642873

943342

-300469

CURRENT TRANSFERS

1420448

911317

509131

ACCOUNT OF CAPITAL AND FINANCES MOVEMENT

8315462

11905151

-3589689

Oil sector

3242921

3587888

-344967

Other sectors

5072541

8317263

-3244722

ACCOUNT OF CAPITAL MOVEMENT

22090

7800

14290

ACCOUNT OF FINANCES MOVEMENT

8293372

11897351

-3603979

DIRECT INVESTMENTS

3350992

3021842

329150

Oil sector

2573366

2822027

-248661

Other sectors

777626

199815

577811

OIL BONUSES

2005

2005

PORTFOLIO INVESTMENTS

846154

984907

-138753

OTHER INVESTMENTS

4094221

7890602

-3796381

Oil sector

667550

765861

-98311

Other sectors

3426671

7124741

-3698070

Assets

200008

5794348

-5594340

Commercial loans and payments

1471600

-1471600

Loans and borrowings

200008

466632

-266624

Deposits and cash currency

3856116

-3856116

Liabilities

3894213

2096254

1797959

Commercial loans and payments

523430

523430

Loans and borrowings

3370783

2051954

1318829

Deposits and cash currency

44300

-44300

Balancing articles

988729

-988729

Other reserve asserts

10461170

-10461170

Balance

38952401

38952401

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