BAKU, Azerbaijan, August 7. Kazakhstan’s renewable energy output reached 8.6 billion kWh in 2025, accounting for 7% of total electricity generation and exceeding the government’s target for growth from the 2022 level.
According to the government of Kazakhstan, the renewable generation increased from 5.11 billion kWh in 2022 to 8.6 billion kWh in 2025, representing a 1.7-fold increase and surpassing the presidential target of a 1.5-fold rise.
The growth was supported by renewable energy auctions, investment attraction measures and the commissioning of new facilities. In 2025, Kazakhstan launched nine renewable energy projects with a combined capacity of 503.5 MW. The country plans to complete ten renewable energy projects with a total capacity of 245 MW in 2026, including four wind farms, five solar power plants and one hydropower facility. Seven of these projects with a combined capacity of 212 MW have already been commissioned.
Trend’s analysis shows that Kazakhstan’s 1.7-fold increase in renewable energy generation between 2022 and 2025 represents a strong performance against the initial growth benchmark. Trend’s calculations show that the 8.6 billion kWh generated from renewable sources in 2025 corresponds to around 7% of total electricity generation, based on national output of 123.1 billion kWh.
The next milestone - increasing the renewable energy share to 15% by 2030 - will require continued expansion of generation capacity. Assuming electricity demand grows moderately to around 135 billion kWh by 2030, renewable generation would need to reach approximately 18.4 billion kWh annually. This means adding around 9.8 billion kWh of new renewable output over five years, requiring a growth rate broadly comparable with the pace achieved between 2022 and 2025.
The key challenge for the next stage will be maintaining a steady pipeline of projects and ensuring that power infrastructure develops alongside generation capacity. Kazakhstan commissioned more than 500 MW of renewable capacity in 2025, while projects planned for 2026 represent a smaller volume, highlighting the importance of accelerating new investment cycles.
The Just Energy Transition Investment Platform (QaJET), launched by Kazakhstan and the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), is expected to become one of the main mechanisms supporting this expansion. As EBRD Director Sule Kilic told Trend in an exclusive interview, the platform is expected to mobilize up to 20 billion euros and support the deployment of 10 GW of renewable capacity by 2035.
Kilic noted that the EBRD has already financed more than 6.5 GW of installed renewable energy capacity across Central Asia and mobilized 4.2 billion euros for the region’s energy sector. According to her, the bank’s approach focuses not only on renewable generation but also on modernizing electricity networks to ensure the reliable integration of solar and wind power. "Since the 1990s, we have supported seven KEGOC projects, most recently the Integration of the West Zone Project, which connects the previously isolated western power zone with the rest of the country via more than 600 kilometres of high-voltage transmission lines," Kilic said.
The first project supported under the QaJET platform - the 1 GW Mirny Wind project developed by TotalEnergies and local partners - includes a 300 MW battery energy storage system with a capacity of 600 MWh. The EBRD mobilized around $550 million for the project, with the storage component designed to improve flexibility and support the stable integration of renewable generation into Kazakhstan’s power system.
Beyond financing, Kazakhstan’s renewable energy expansion is also creating demand for technological cooperation. Julia Horodecka, Head of the Polish Investment and Trade Agency’s Foreign Trade Office in Astana, told Trend that Poland’s experience in renewable energy development and energy modernization could support Kazakhstan and other Central Asian countries. "On the one hand, Kazakhstan remains a major producer of energy resources; on the other, it is consistently developing and implementing renewable energy sources, modernising its energy infrastructure and striving for decarbonisation and climate neutrality," Horodecka said.
She noted that Kazakhstan’s priorities include new generation capacity, renewable energy development, modernization of transmission grids and combined heat and power plants. According to Horodecka, there is also significant potential for cooperation in areas such as energy efficiency, water management, waste management and digital solutions for the energy sector. "In this context, there is considerable scope for the implementation of Polish technologies – both in the energy sector and in related areas such as water management, energy efficiency and waste management," she added.
Kazakhstan’s renewable energy share remains below the global average, reflecting the country’s traditional reliance on coal-based generation and the structure of its energy system. However, the recent pace of renewable deployment, combined with international financing platforms and growing technology cooperation, indicates that the country has entered a new stage of its energy transition. The focus is gradually shifting from simply adding renewable capacity to building a more flexible energy system capable of integrating larger volumes of clean power through stronger grids, storage solutions and improved efficiency.
