BAKU, Azerbaijan, October 12. Kyrgyzstan’s greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are expected to rise steadily over the next decade.
Data obtained by Trend from the country's national contribution shows that net emissions, taking into account removals from land use, land-use change, and forestry (LULUCF), will increase from 9.07 million tonnes of CO₂ equivalent in 2023 to nearly 23.95 million tonnes by 2035. The energy sector remains the largest contributor, growing from 10.65 Mt CO₂e in 2023 to 19.63 Mt CO₂e in 2035. Industrial processes and product use (IPPU) and agriculture also show gradual increases, reaching 4.35 Mt CO₂e and 8.96 Mt CO₂e, respectively, by 2035.
Waste sector emissions are projected to rise modestly from 0.96 Mt CO₂e in 2023 to 1.59 Mt CO₂e in 2035, while LULUCF continues to offset a significant portion of total emissions, with removals slightly increasing from 10.31 Mt CO₂e to 10.58 Mt CO₂e over the same period.
The projections highlight the challenges Kyrgyzstan faces in balancing economic development with climate commitments, emphasizing the need for accelerated measures in energy efficiency, renewable energy deployment, and sustainable land management to limit future emissions growth.
