Azerbaijan, Baku, April 12 /Trend, V.Zhavoronkova/
Talking about who will be the next president of Kyrgyzstan is too early, experts say.
"At the moment, it is difficult to predict, who will run for presidency. But I am quite sure that the leaders of the so-called interim government in Kyrgyzstan have the time now to discuss such questions," German expert on Central Asian countries Michael Laubsch told Trend.
An interim government, headed by Roza Otunbayeva took the power in Kyrgyzstan. After mass protest actions across the country, President Kurmanbek Bakiyev is in the south of the country. He refuses to lay down the powers of head of state, but in society there is not doubt that he will not return to full governance of the country. According to statements by the opposition of the Republic, the election of a new president must be held six months later.
The experts do not unambiguous opinion about who will run for presidency in Kyrgyzstan.
"Now a form of governance has been found, which meets the situation where several enough contradicting leaders are willing to see themselves as the key legal person in the country," a Russian expert on Central Asia, Alexander Knyazev, told Trend by telephone from Bishkek.
According to him, the fact that the opposition in Kyrgyzstan refused to appoint an interim president is positive.
It is possible that by the time of announcement of the presidential elections in Kyrgyzstan, the struggle will flare up not for the presidency of the country, but for creating a decent faction in the parliament, says Knyazev.
"For this reason, I would disincline talking about candidates for the presidency," - said the expert. According to experts, the situation in Kyrgyzstan remains tense.
It all depends on how Bakiyev will react. There are only two possibilities for him, head of German non-governmental organization Eurasian Transition Group Laubsch said.
According to the expert, the first one is leaving the country, and the second one tot giving up, collecting his supporters and try to oppose.
"The second possibility is definitely a risky one, because it could lead to a Civil War with a possible spread towards Uzbekistan," Laubsch said.
According to another European expert Alexander Rahr, the situation in Kyrgyzstan is enough explosive, as this revolution has occurred spontaneously.
He said that if the situation in the country continues to remain uncertain, there can be activation of radical Islamic groups.
"Kyrgyz Islamists, unlike Uzbek, are less active, but if the current situation remains uncertain, it would shake the Islamists as well, who have their own closed structures. Therefore, the West with great caution observes the situation in the country," Director of the Russia-Eurasia Center of the Council on Foreign Relations of Germany Alexander Rahr told Trend by telephone from Berlin.
"Therefore I hope both sides stay realistic and don't make any decisions that might destabilize the country further," Laubsch said.
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