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Russia’s natural gas imports witness fluctuations over decade – GECF report

Oil&Gas Materials 20 December 2024 11:38 (UTC +04:00)
Laman Zeynalova
Laman Zeynalova
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BAKU, Azerbaijan, December 20. Russia’s natural gas imports via pipelines saw notable variations between 2014 and 2023, according to the latest report by the Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF) obtained by Trend.

In 2023, Russia imported 8.60 billion cubic meters (bcm) of natural gas, reflecting a marginal increase of 4.6 percent compared to 2022’s figure of 8.18 bcm.

The peak of natural gas imports was recorded in 2019, reaching 18.83 bcm, which represented a staggering 119.2% increase from 2014, when imports stood at 8.58 bcm. However, a sharp decline followed in 2020, with imports falling by 45.6 percent to 10.25 bcm.

Between 2020 and 2021, imports rebounded by 42.2 percent to 14.58 bcm, before dropping again in subsequent years. The period from 2021 to 2022 marked a significant 37.1 percent decline in imports, influenced by various economic and geopolitical factors.

The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) reports that in 2022, Russia ranked as the world’s second-largest producer and exporter of dry natural gas, the third-largest producer of crude oil and condensate, and the third-largest exporter of coal.

The war in Ukraine, which began in 2022, prompted a wave of international sanctions targeting Russia, including significant restrictions on its energy sector. In May 2023, the G7 countries reaffirmed price caps and export bans on Russian oil and petroleum products. Later, in December 2023, the European Union adopted its 12th package of sanctions, introducing measures to strengthen compliance and limit efforts to circumvent the price caps.

These sanctions accelerated a reorientation of Russian energy trade toward Asia, necessitating a greater reliance on seaborne shipments due to the limited capacity of eastbound rail and pipeline infrastructure.

According to the EIA, "Seaborne shipments of crude oil and condensate to Asia increased by 57 percent year over year in 2023, while petroleum product shipments surged by 80 percent. Total seaborne coal exports rose by 18 percent from January to April 2023, compared to the same period in the previous year."

To mitigate the impact of reduced pipeline export capacity, Russia has prioritized developing liquefied natural gas (LNG) infrastructure, aiming to reach markets that pipelines cannot easily access. However, this effort faces significant challenges, including restricted access to technology and financing due to ongoing sanctions.

Russia's natural gas exports via pipeline plummeted by 48 percent year over year in 2022. In contrast, LNG exports from Russia saw a modest increase of over 10 percent in the same year, followed by a slight 2 percent decline in 2023.

The shift in Russia’s energy strategy reflects the broader impacts of international sanctions and the evolving dynamics of global energy trade.

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