BAKU, Azerbaijan, January 21. Eurasia’s natural gas production is forecast to rise by 1.5% in 2025, with Russia driving the bulk of the growth through increased domestic demand and exports to China and Central Asia, Trend reports referring to the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) latest projections.
However, regional output will remain nearly 10% below 2021 levels, underscoring the lingering impact of recent declines.
Eurasia’s natural gas production declined sharply by 13% (130 bcm) between 2021 and 2023, primarily due to collapsing Russian piped gas deliveries to Europe and diminishing upstream capacity in Uzbekistan. However, the region began a gradual recovery in late 2023, with production increasing by 5.5% (45 bcm) in 2024, supported by stronger domestic demand and rising exports.
In 2024, natural gas production trends across Central Asia varied significantly:
Turkmenistan maintained stable production levels at just over 80
bcm.
Uzbekistan experienced a 4.5% decline (2 bcm) year-on-year due to
upstream challenges.
Kazakhstan saw a marginal 1% decline (0.3 bcm) in sales gas
production.
Azerbaijan recorded a 6% growth (2 bcm), driven by higher exports
to Europe, which increased by 6% (1.25 bcm) year-on-year.
While Eurasia’s gas production is expected to grow modestly, it remains constrained by past disruptions and varying performance across countries. Russia's resurgence as a key contributor, fueled by strengthened exports to China and Central Asia, highlights the shifting dynamics in the region’s energy landscape.
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