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Iran’s crude oil production and demand forecasts remain stable in 2026, IEA says

Economy Materials 26 January 2026 06:13 (UTC +04:00)
Iran’s crude oil production and demand forecasts remain stable in 2026, IEA says
Gulnara Rahimova
Gulnara Rahimova
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BAKU, Azerbaijan, January 26. Iran's crude oil production is expected to remain steady at 3.3 million barrels per day (mb/d) throughout 2024-2026, with only slight fluctuations in demand.

Data obtained by Trend from the International Energy Agency (IEA) shows that Iran’s oil production is projected to hold at 3.3 mb/d in early 2024, with a slight increase to 3.4 mb/d in Q3 and Q4 of 2024.

However, a dip to 3.2 mb/d is expected in Q1 of 2025, before recovering back to 3.3 mb/d. The IEA's forecast for 2026 suggests stable production throughout the year.

On the demand side, Iran’s oil consumption is forecast to remain relatively steady at 1.97 mb/d for most of 2024, with a modest increase to 2.04 mb/d in Q1 of 2025, before settling at 2.00 mb/d in 2026.

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