DUSHANBE, Tajikistan, July 22. The government of Tajikistan forecasts an average annual increase of around 20 percent in primary aluminum production over the next three years.
Data obtained by Trend from the official macroeconomic forecast for 2026-2028 indicates that production will rise from an expected 108,000 tons in 2025 up to 131,000 tons in 2026, 157,000 tons in 2027, and 188,000 tons by 2028. The Ministry of Industry and New Technologies reported that 82,200 tons were produced in 2024 — a 23.3 percent increase compared to 2023.
Last year, primary aluminum production generated a total value of $65 million, while exports grew by nearly 37 percent to over 71,000 tons, earning more than $180 million. Local enterprises also increased their processing volume by 22.5 percent, reaching nearly 19,000 tons.
TALCO, the state-owned aluminum plant with a design capacity of 517,000 tons annually, has seen production fluctuate significantly in recent years, with a notable decline during the pandemic years. The government owns a full block of shares in TALCO, underscoring the strategic importance of aluminum production for the republic’s economy.
