DUSHANBE, Tajikistan, July 15. The Eurasian Fund for Stabilization and Development (EFSD) projects that Tajikistan’s real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will grow by 6.7 percent by 2027, Trend reports.
Preliminary data show that GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025 reached 8.2 percent, maintaining the same pace as in the corresponding period of 2024.
Analysts attribute this robust economic performance to several key factors, including increased consumer demand, expanding export volumes, rising real wages, and strong remittance inflows from migrant workers. These statistics are grounded in the performance of the real sector, encompassing retail trade turnover and paid services to the population.
Despite the overall positive trajectory, investment in fixed capital declined by 10.1 percent during the first quarter of 2025. This decrease is primarily linked to reduced spending in the electricity and mineral extraction industries. However, the investment climate improved markedly in April, driven by significant increases in funding for culture, sports, and leisure sectors, alongside a rebound in energy sector investments. Consequently, fixed capital investment grew by 10.6 percent over the first four months of 2025.
EFSD experts emphasize that sustained GDP growth is underpinned by ongoing structural reforms, proactive investment policies, and a resilient consumer market. Together with favorable external economic conditions, these factors position Tajikistan to sustain strong economic growth in the years ahead.
